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Article | FINEX Observer

Fiduciary liability: A look ahead to 2026

By Lawrence Fine and John M. Orr | February 3, 2026

Our perspective on what to expect in 2026 for the fiduciary liability market.
Financial, Executive and Professional Risks (FINEX)
Artificial Intelligence

The fiduciary marketplace now and going forward

In 2025, we saw both positive and negative developments in fiduciary litigation and enforcement, and, as a result, the fiduciary insurance market remained stable. Premiums largely remained flat, with some insurers willing to offer improved terms to insureds with positive or improved risk profiles. Plaintiff lawyers continued to pursue relatively new theories of liability, including one new type of fiduciary class action in the final days of 2025 (four novel class actions relating to voluntary benefit programs, which may or may not be subject to ERISA regulation).

Last year, we identified the Cornell University case, the Parker-Hannifin case and welfare plan excessive fee class actions as the most important cases to watch for potential impact on the market. While plaintiffs were successful in reversing the defense victory in Cornell, this extreme outcome seems likely to result in legislative actions which could turn out to be very favorable to plan sponsors. The Parker-Hannifin decision is headed to the U.S. Supreme Court, with the Department of Labor weighing in for the defense. Lastly, all of the welfare plan excessive fee cases have been dismissed, but with leave to replead. In other words, there have been conflicting and inconclusive results in these still-developing stories. Meanwhile, it should be factored in that the Department of Labor (DOL) and Employment Benefits Security Administration (EBSA) have requested a reduced budget and headcount and seem to be planning to bring fewer claims, while at the same time filing amicus briefs in support of defendants in five cases (so far).

As long as these cases and related issues remain unresolved, the insurance market seems likely to continue to stand by watchfully, keeping premiums steady and insurers cautious into 2026.

Risks going into 2026

Fiduciary claim trends

Forfeiture litigation

The fastest growing type of fiduciary class action litigation has been forfeiture litigation. In the first 10 months of 2025, there were 43 class actions with forfeiture allegations, compared to 30 in all of 2024 and 5 in 2023.

  • These allegations seem to contradict long-established practices, seemingly endorsed by both the Internal Revenue Service and the Department of Labor. Just this year, the IRS proposed regulations concerning the timing for reallocating forfeiture, without raising any concerns. In addition, defendants have raised arguments that the challenged decisions are funding decisions which should be considered “settlor acts” which are not subject to fiduciary duties.
  • Nonetheless, although most of these suits have been dismissed (often with leave to replead), at least six motions to dismiss have been denied. Thereafter, four of those cases have been settled; the public figures for two of the settlements were $1.95 million and $1.1 million respectively. For the details behind these statistics, see “As Summer Turns to Fall: The Evolution of ERISA Forfeiture Cases.”
  • On July 9, 2025, the DOL filed an amicus brief on behalf of defendants in a forfeiture case, stating that “a fiduciary’s use of forfeited employer contributions in the manner alleged in this case, without more, would not violate ERISA.” On January 8, 2026, the DOL filed a similar amicus brief in another Ninth Circuit forfeiture case.
  • Appeals of dismissals are currently pending in three other circuits as well.
  • Although there have been mixed results on motions to dismiss, it should be noted that so far there have been dismissals in every circuit except for the Seventh.

Prediction: The weight of judicial and regulatory authority will continue to go against plaintiffs in relation to forfeiture allegations, but there will continue to be new filings, possibly until there is a clear statement from the Supreme Court. However, filings will probably slow considerably in the likely event that the Ninth Circuit confirms the dismissal of the HP case.

Excessive fee class actions

According to a source which differentiates between types of claims against defined contribution plans, in the first 10 months of 2025, there were 51 class actions with excessive fee allegations, versus 47 in 2024 and 43 in 2023. While there appear to have been minor increases in filing volume during the last few years, volume remains down considerably from 2022, when there may have been as many as 89 filings.

In 2025, the most common allegation included in excessive fee class actions was that the plan in question offered a Stable Value Fund which had lower returns than other allegedly comparable funds (this allegation appeared in 27 cases, compared to only five in 2024). On the other hand, allegations about recordkeeping fees were down somewhat, allegations about target date funds were substantially down and share class allegations were only featured in four cases.

Although there weren’t any circuit court decisions relating to excessive fees in 2025, there have been some further developments in cases previously discussed.

In 2024, the Second Circuit and the Eighth Circuit affirmed dismissals because the complaints did not allege “meaningful benchmarks.” Meanwhile, in a highly criticized decision with a strong dissent, the Sixth Circuit stated that plaintiffs suing Parker-Hannifin did not have to plead “meaningful benchmarks.”

In the Parker-Hannifin case, the defendants were unsuccessful in seeking en banc review, despite the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and other parties filing amici briefs in support. Thereafter, in response to a request from the U.S. Supreme Court to weigh in, the Solicitor General filed a brief on behalf of the DOL and the DOJ in support of the Court granting certiorari.

The Solicitor General also submitted a brief in support of defendants in another case, supporting the grant of certiorari to side with the Eleventh Circuit’s 2024 holding (contrary to several other circuits) that plaintiffs have the burden of proof on loss causation in addition to on the preliminary issues of breach and loss. On January 8, 2026, the plaintiffs withdrew their appeal to the Supreme Court and the next day the DOL issued a statement welcoming that decision and stating that existing Supreme Court precedent is clear that “plaintiffs bear the burden of proving the essential elements of their claims, including loss causation.”

Meanwhile, recent settlements have been trending much lower than in previous years (see chart below):

Mayer Brown, in commenting on the above chart, which they created, stated “While a handful of outlier high-dollar settlements (typically in cases with unique factual circumstances and alleging more than excessive recordkeeping fees) continue to impact the annual average settlement amount, the median settlement amount has decreased,” with the median settlement in 2025 being roughly half of what it was in 2023.

Prediction: It seems unlikely that we will see a return to 2022 filing volume; 2026 will probably see excessive fee filing numbers in the 40s or 50s. Settlement figures will probably remain modest except in cases involving 10 and 11-figure plans and/or proprietary investments.

Meanwhile, several other types of class actions were filed in 2025 and can be expected to continue into 2026 and beyond.

Actuarial equivalence class actions

Class actions involving defined benefit plans and arising from allegedly outdated mortality tables, which first appeared on the scene in 2018, were not filed in 2025. These cases allege that, by basing their calculations on obsolete mortality tables from periods between the 1950 and the 1980s, plan sponsors have been underpaying benefits to retirees who elect to receive lump sums. More than 30 such class actions have been filed, including 3 in 2024. The main issue is whether ERISA has an implied requirement that mortality tables be “reasonable” (because it does not have an express requirement to that effect).

Although more actuarial equivalence cases have gotten past motions to dismiss than have been dismissed, and some cases have been settled for substantial figures (including a $59 million settlement), to date, there has never been a finding of liability. Also note that in two cases in which courts addressed the merits of class certification, the courts both refused to grant certification.

Prediction: Despite the lack of a new filing in 2025, it seems likely that we will continue to see an occasional such suit in 2026 as long as the law remains unsettled, with circuits remaining split as to whether a mortality table “reasonableness” standard should be an implied requirement.

Tobacco/vaccination surcharge cases

In 2024, several different law firms filed at least 27 class actions alleging that plan sponsors of health and welfare plans violate the anti-discrimination provisions, which were amended into ERISA by the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, by charging a higher premium based on a “health status-related factor” without offering an acceptable wellness program to allow for an exception. While most of these cases involve a class of tobacco smokers, some cases involve higher premiums for unvaccinated participants. These cases are still new, and everyone is waiting for appellate court decisions to validate or strike down the allegations. Since plaintiffs and some courts have relied on DOL regulations, which require that the exception be provided on a retroactive basis (in order to make available the statutorily required “full reward”), defendants’ chances in these suits may ultimately be bolstered by the decision in Loper Bright v. Raimondo, which struck down the Chevron standard of deference to regulatory agency interpretations of statute. However, up to now, the vast majority of these suits have gotten past motions to dismiss, and there have been several rapid settlements for up to $5 million. For a more thorough discussion, see “Tobacco Surcharge Litigation Update.”

Prediction: These suits will continue and result in some substantial settlements, but eventually some courts will rely on Loper Bright to ignore the DOL’s draconian interpretation of the ERISA anti-discrimination provisions in question and rule that retroactivity is not required.

Welfare excessive fee litigation

High-profile litigation against plan sponsors alleging excessive prescription drug costs under health and welfare plans largely stalled in 2025. Two nearly identical suits — one against Johnson & Johnson and another against a different large employer — were dismissed without prejudice, primarily on standing grounds. Contrary to predictions and threats from the Schlichter Bogart firm, only one additional prescription drug pricing class action was filed in 2025.

At the same time, pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) have come under increasing scrutiny. Plan sponsors have filed suits, bipartisan federal regulation proposes to designate PBMs as ERISA fiduciaries and California has enacted sweeping PBM regulations effective January 1, 2026.

Prediction: After refiling, one of the three existing class actions may get past a motion to dismiss with the assertion that paying too much out-of-pocket for prescription drugs is an injury-in-fact. If that happens, then more such cases will probably get filed; otherwise, there may be no more such cases. In any case, we will probably see more plan sponsors preemptively suing PBMs.

Litigation arising from pension buyouts

In the midst of positive news about defined benefit pension plan funding and a rise in plan sponsors arranging for buyouts of their pension liabilities (pension risk transfers) in order to gain access to the surpluses, plaintiffs have filed class actions against nine sponsors who have arranged for such transactions.

  • The defendants have strong defenses to the plaintiff’s efforts to achieve standing based on a stated concern that their benefits will not be paid in the future if and when the relevant insurer becomes insolvent.
  • Initially, all of the suits involved the same insurer, who is described in one complaint as “a private-equity controlled insurance company with a highly risky offshore structure” and a limited track record.
  • These suits come after the Department of Labor has just issued a report about fiduciary standards that apply to selecting annuity providers for defined benefit pension plans, saying that it should “explore developments in both the life insurance industry and in pension risk transfer” and possibly suggest changes to the Interpretive Bulletin, which has been in place since 1995.
  • Recently, two federal judges in two different courts reached the opposite conclusion regarding standing in virtually identical lawsuits. In the one case so far that has survived a motion to dismiss, the court held that the plaintiffs had just “barely” alleged facts pointing to a “substantially increased risk” that the annuity provider would fail. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the ERISA Industry Committee and the American Benefits Council have each submitted amicus briefs to the Fourth Circuit asking that this motion to dismiss denial be reversed because the plaintiffs’ allegation are too “speculative” to justify standing. On January 9, 2026, the DOL also submitted an amicus brief requested reversal for similar reasons.

Prediction: The one decision which found that plaintiffs had “barely” alleged facts to support standing will probably be reversed by the Fourth Circuit. This could lead to a break in PRT litigation, although some plaintiff firms may still be tempted by particularly large PRTs to roll the dice.

Brand new litigation concerning voluntary benefit programs

On December 23, 2025, the Schlichter firm (which introduced the world to excessive fee class action litigation with numerous filings on September 11, 2006) debuted a new type of fiduciary class action. The firm sued four plan sponsors, along with their benefit advisors (four different companies), alleging breaches in connection with the offering of voluntary benefits to their employees, namely accident, critical illness and hospital indemnity insurance.

The complaints allege that, as a result of the plan sponsor’s “failure to exercise reasonable diligence in the administration of the Plan, including by failing to monitor, negotiate, and ensure prudent and reasonable carrier selection, broker commissions, and loss ratios for the Voluntary Benefits Insurance, Plaintiffs as participants of the Plan paid excessive and unreasonable premiums.” Plaintiffs also allege that the benefits advisors were overcompensated, engaged in self-dealing and are liable for disgorgement and other equitable relief. Plaintiffs allege that the voluntary benefit programs in question are welfare benefit plans that don’t qualify for a regulatory safe harbor for “certain group or group-type insurance programs” contained in 29 C.F.R. § 2510.3-1(j).

Prediction: Defendants will argue that the voluntary benefit programs are not ERISA-regulated welfare plans, and also raise the type of standing defenses which have been successful so far in the welfare plan excessive fee cases. Most of these cases will be dismissed on motion, but one or more could survive.

The Cornell University decision and its fallout

  • The Supreme Court states low standards for pleading prohibited transactions: In a unanimous decision, the U.S. Supreme Court reversed and remanded the Second Circuit’s affirmation of the dismissal of the prohibited transaction claim against Cornell University. All of the Justices agreed with Justice Sotomayor’s Opinion of the Court that section 408 of ERISA lists affirmative defenses to a section 406 prohibited transaction claim, and that plaintiffs should never have to plead the absence of affirmative defenses in a complaint. Justice Alito wrote a concurrence, joined by Thomas and Kavanaugh, that bemoaned what they deemed to be the statutorily necessary result, warning of “untoward practical results” because “[t]he upshot is that all that a plaintiff must do in order to file a complaint that will get by a motion to dismiss under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 12(b)(6) is to allege that the administrator did something [hired a service provider] that, as a practical matter, it is bound to do.”
  • Even the majority was somewhat concerned about a possible proliferation of frivolous litigation, with both sides endorsing the adoption of unusual procedures such as “if a fiduciary believes an exemption applies to bar a plaintiff’s suit and files an answer showing as much, Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 7 empowers district courts to “insist that the plaintiff” file a reply “put[ting] forward specific, nonconclusory factual allegations” showing that the exemption does not apply” [citations omitted].
  • Note that at least one federal court in California has responded to the Supreme Court decision by ordering Rule 7 briefing in a prohibited transaction case before deciding whether to allow discovery.
  • It does not appear that this decision has led to a general increase in fiduciary class action filings, but plaintiffs are more routinely including prohibited transaction allegations and defendants have had difficulty getting those counts dismissed. However, at least one federal court so far has taken the Supreme Court’s exhortation to district courts to “dismiss suits that allege a prohibited transaction occurred but fail to identify any injury.”
  • For more discussion of the Supreme Court’s decision in Cornell, see this article.
  • For more discussion of the appellate decisions in the Second Circuit Cornell and the Ninth Circuit AT&T case and the legal standards discussed in those decisions, see this article.
  • On November 20, 2025, Judge Castel issued an order allowing the plaintiffs to take further discovery and to present arguments in favor of a jury trial.
  • On December 2, 2025, the House Committee on Education and the Workforce’s Subcommittee on Health, Employment, Labor and Pensions held a hearing focused on the ERISA Litigation Reform Act (H.R. 6084), a bill introduced on November 18, 2025, by Representative Randy Fine (R-FL). The bill is a reaction to the expansion of fiduciary class action generally and to the Supreme Court’s decision in the Cornell case specifically. If passed, the bill would require plaintiffs to plausibly allege and prove that an alleged prohibited transaction is not exempt under section 408(b)(2), which was the Second Circuit’s original holding in the case. The bill also contains a default discovery stay before an answer or a motion to dismiss decision, similar to the one which was instituted by the Private Securities Reform Act (PLSRA) under the federal securities laws.

Prediction: Last year we predicted that the Supreme Court would affirm the Second Circuit decision because the opposite result would be untenable. We were half-right. The Supreme Court chose to reverse, even though all nine justices clearly found the result to be untenable. Furthermore, there is substantial sentiment in Congress that the decision created a problem (too low a pleading threshold) that must be corrected. Consequently, it seems likely that a law will eventually be enacted which shifts the burden to plaintiffs to plead the lack of a relevant exemption on prohibited transaction claims; it will be a bonus if the proposed motion to dismiss discovery stay becomes law. In the meantime, it is likely that more courts will follow the example of the California federal court which forced plaintiffs into Rule 7 briefing before allowing the prohibited transaction case to proceed.

First ESG class action results in a finding of liability but no damages

American Airlines was sued in Texas federal court in June 2023 for allegedly offering imprudent and expensive ESG-oriented investments, although it did not actually include such investment options in its main menu. After motions to dismiss and for summary judgment were denied, there was bench trial which resulted in a decision on January 10, 2025, finding that American did not violate the duty of prudence but did breach the duty of loyalty due to a close relationship with Black Rock. The court asked for additional briefing on damages, having expressed some skepticism for the plaintiff’s theories on that front.

Subsequently, the Court made a finding of no damages, but nonetheless ordered five forms of equitable relief, including banning ESG-oriented proxy voting and shareholder proposals and effectively enjoining American from using BlackRock to manage Plan assets without strict policies in place.

Thereafter, the plaintiff firm filed a brief requesting $7.9 million in fees. Defendants are expected to oppose the request.

Prediction: The fact that the judge found no damages is likely to dampen plaintiff enthusiasm for bringing ESG-oriented class actions, even though the plaintiff firm is likely to be awarded several million dollars in fees. Still, it is possible that plaintiffs could attempt to pursue other ESG cases, particularly in a friendly jurisdiction like Texas.

Enforcement

  • Changing enforcement priorities: In Senate hearings in June, the administration’s nominee to lead EBSA, Daniel Aronowitz, stated his top three priorities for the agency: “We will end the practice of open-ended investigations that go on for years. We will end the bias against ESOPs and other legitimate ways to expand retirement benefits and ownership to America’s workers. And we will end the regulatory abuse of common-interest agreements with plaintiff lawyers. EBSA’s enforcement will be fair, even-handed, and efficient.”
  • In addition, Mr. Aronowitz favors greater “regulatory clarity” on various topics, including plan forfeitures, pension risk transfers and cybersecurity. Mr. Aronowitz also pledged to “end the war on ESOPs [Employer Stock Ownership Plans],” saying “I think it’s the best way for employees to get an additional benefit and ownership in an American company” and that it “can’t be right that every single [valuation company is] doing it wrong.”
  • Aronowitz was confirmed on September 18, 2025
  • Our prediction from last year that the “incoming administration is likely to shift priorities and possibly reduce funding and staffing” has come to pass. EBSA and the DOL have stated their enforcement priorities in connection with their FY 2026 Congressional Budget Justification. In this document, which was submitted to Congress in June 2025, EBSA proposes to cut $10 million and 47 employees, and does not provide the usual detail as to its enforcement priorities in the coming year. For perspective, read What Does the FY2026 Budget Request Spell for EBSA?

Executive orders and policy memos

Recent executive actions reflect a shift in the federal government’s fiduciary regulatory priorities. In its February 21 America First Investment Policy memo, the administration directed the DOL to update fiduciary standards regarding investments tied to foreign adversaries. In its December 11 executive order entitled “Protecting American Investors from Foreign-Owned and Politically Motivated Proxy Advisors,” the SEC, FTC and DOL were encouraged to regulate proxy advisors more aggressively. After years of litigation over the prior rule, the DOL announced plans to replace the current ESG investment rule with one more closely aligned with the 2020 framework, which discouraged ESG considerations.

In addition, recent executive orders rescinded prior DOL guidance that imposed an “extreme care” standard for cryptocurrency investments and encouraged greater access to alternative assets. On January 13, 2026, the DOL submitted a proposed regulation entitled “Fiduciary Duties in Selecting Designated Investment Alternatives.” Thereafter, on January 16, the Supreme Court agreed to hear an appeal of a case involving Intel, in which the primary question is whether plaintiffs need to plead “meaningful benchmarks” in a claim involving allegedly imprudent investments in alternative assets. (Note that this issue mirrors the “meaningful benchmarks” question presented in the Parker-Hannifin excessive fee case which is also likely to be considered by the Supreme Court).

Prediction: EBSA recoveries for 2025 will be less than the $1.4 billion figure which it has hovered around for the last several years and 2026 recoveries will be less still, as the reduced staff at EBSA and the DOL deemphasize and change several of their past priorities. Meanwhile, the DOL’s amicus briefs filed on behalf of defendants in five cases (and likely to be filed in the Intel case) will be helpful to plan sponsors in defending private class actions.

Artificial intelligence (AI) as a fiduciary risk?

Fiduciaries are presumably considering many factors in relation to themselves and to any parties to whom they delegate any duties, starting with whether they understand how AI is or isn’t being incorporated into decision making. What are the risks of using AI and of not using it? How can one ensure that information being used and created by AI is reliable and compliant with regulations? Do the benefits of AI-powered recordkeeping functions outweigh the potential risks? Should the fiduciaries seek independent professional advice regarding how they should be using AI? For useful discussions on this topic, see:

Prediction: Last year we predicted that we would start to see AI-related fiduciary litigation in 2025. That didn’t happen, but it continues to seem likely that it’s coming. Claims will likely focus on allegations of improper delegation, possibly to investment managers who may have allegedly over-delegated to their AI systems. Fiduciaries will want to know the answers to questions like the ones above in order to have a chance of establishing process-related defenses to such claims.

Concluding remarks

The current default in the fiduciary insurance market continues to be pressure toward flat renewals, with some ability to distinguish individual risks for reductions. The specific matters which were highlighted last year remain in flux, but we have seen interim results which didn’t noticeably move the needle. In late December, we saw the beginning of a new potential trend involving voluntary benefit programs, but the plaintiffs in those cases have several hurdles to overcome before it can become a successful theory for meaningful recoveries.

Meanwhile, it seems clear that the Department of Labor and EBSA are going to continue to be less active than under previous administrations, but it should be noted that government claims have never been a major factor in fiduciary insurance pricing. The amicus briefs which the DOL is filing on behalf of plan sponsors may be a larger factor in reducing litigation risk.

As a result of some of the recent class action trends, some carriers may expand their applications yet again. Still, the market seems likely to continue to maintain a historical perspective about the way that plaintiff theories come and go, resulting in continued stable premiums with some additional opportunities for coverage enhancements.

Disclaimer

WTW hopes you found the general information provided here informative and helpful. The information contained herein is not intended to constitute legal or other professional advice and should not be relied upon in lieu of consultation with your own legal advisors. In the event you would like more information regarding your insurance coverage, please do not hesitate to reach out to us. In North America, WTW offers insurance products through licensed entities, including Willis Towers Watson Northeast, Inc. (in the United States) and Willis Canada Inc. (in Canada).

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Management Liability Coverage Leader, FINEX NA

D&O Liability Product Leader, FINEX NA
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