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Global M&A Outlook 2023: Smaller deals and slower pace

December 14, 2022

ARLINGTON, VA, December 14, 2022 — The global M&A market has remained remarkably resilient against a year of unprecedented uncertainty. Latest M&A research by leading global advisory, broking and solutions company WTW (NASDAQ: WTW) shows buyers outperforming the wider market1 as recently as the third quarter of 2022, based on share price performance of completed deals.

However, deal volume has slowed significantly compared with the record pace set last year. Multiple factors have weighed on M&A in 2022 — geopolitical turmoil, soaring inflation, rising interest rates and fears of a global recession — that will continue into next year. Such a challenging economic backdrop makes it harder for buyers, particularly those venturing beyond their own borders, to confidently predict the profitability of potential targets.

“An unprecedented number of disruptive forces have created headwinds for dealmakers, but they are also generating opportunities,” said Duncan Smithson, senior director, Mergers and Acquisitions, WTW. “The fundamentals that drive dealmaking are still in place, and with valuations moderating after the historic levels reached in 2021, strategic and financial buyers alike will take advantage of better-priced opportunities for growth.”

5 M&A trends for 2023

Duncan Smithson shares his top trends for the year ahead:

“As we move into 2023, economic uncertainty will continue to define and challenge M&A activity, but there will also be opportunities. The same volatility will present its own impetus for dealmaking, as strategic buyers seek to capitalize on cut-price deals in order to combat current market challenges and realize transformational growth,” concluded Smithson.

As we move into 2023, economic uncertainty will continue to define and challenge M&A activity, but there will also be opportunities.”
Duncan SmithsonSenior Director, Mergers and Acquisitions, WTW

WTW QDPM Methodology

  • All analysis is conducted from the perspective of the acquirer.
  • Share price performance within the quarterly study is measured as a percentage change in share price from six months prior to the announcement date to the end of the quarter.
  • All deals where the acquirer owned less than 50% of the shares of the target after the acquisition were removed; hence, no minority purchases have been considered. All deals where the acquirer held more than 50% of target shares prior to the acquisition have been removed; hence, no remaining purchases have been considered.
  • Only completed M&A deals with a value of at least $100 million that meet the study criteria are included in this research.
  • Deal data are sourced from Refinitiv.

About WTW M&A

WTW’s M&A practice combines our expertise in risk and human capital to offer a full range of M&A services and solutions covering all stages of the M&A process. We have particular expertise in the areas of planning, due diligence, risk transfer and post-transaction integration, areas that define the success of any transaction.

About WTW

At WTW (NASDAQ: WTW), we provide data-driven, insight-led solutions in the areas of people, risk and capital. Leveraging the global view and local expertise of our colleagues serving 140 countries and markets, we help organizations sharpen their strategy, enhance organizational resilience, motivate their workforce and maximize performance.

Working shoulder to shoulder with our clients, we uncover opportunities for sustainable success—and provide perspective that moves you.

Footnote

1 The M&A research tracks the number of completed deals over $100 million and the share price performance of the acquiring company against the MSCI World Index, which is used as default, unless stated otherwise.

Media Contacts

Ileana Feoli

External Communication – Health, Wealth & Career, North America

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Mergers and Acquisitions