LONDON, July 8 2026 — Global M&A performance experienced a sharp downturn during the second quarter of 2026, according to research on completed deals from WTW’s Quarterly Deal Performance Monitor (QDPM). Based on share price performance, dealmakers struggled against companies not involved in M&A activities by a significant -11.9pp (percentage points) for deals valued over $100 million and completed during the last three months, reveals WTW’s Quarterly Deal Performance Monitor (QDPM)[1].
In contrast to the first three months of 2026, which saw a record-breaking 12 mega deals (valued over $10 billion) completed, only three such deals closed in the second quarter, according to the WTW data run in partnership with the M&A Research Centre at Bayes Business School. Large deals (valued over $1bn) were also down during the same period, with 48 transactions closed in the last three months compared to 56 in the previous quarter. The fall in mega deals also pushed down the value of completed transactions from a five-year high of $438 billion in the first quarter of 2026 to $232 billion.
The slowdown in deal activity, however, can also be interpreted as a market reset following the major spike in activity at the start of the year. The 202 transactions valued over $100 million completed worldwide in the second quarter of 2026 still surpassed the 176 deals closed in the same period last year. M&A activity during the last three months also came close to the 215 deals completed in the first quarter, showing a resilient performance of smaller deals despite the impact of the conflict in the Middle East.
Jana Mercereau, Head of Europe M&A Consulting, WTW, said: “The M&A market continues to undergo sharp, seesaw swings in deal performance, reflecting an unpredictable macroeconomic and geopolitical environment. Yet, after waves of uncertainty and an uneven deal trajectory that is expected to endure for the rest of 2026, buyers have barely paused and continue to stare down volatility to cut deals.”
“Buyers have barely paused and continue to stare down volatility to cut deals.”Jana MercereauHead of Europe M&A Consulting
All regional acquirers underperformed their respective regional index between April and June 2026. North American acquirers underperformed by -11.6pp with 103 deals completed, compared to -5.4pp and 117 deals in the first quarter of 2026. European dealmakers also underperformed their index by -8.3pp in the last three months with 38 deals completed, compared to +6.0pp during the previous quarter with 40 deals. Reflecting the wider European trend, British acquirers also underperformed the index.
The performance of Asia-Pacific buyers was more acutely depressed, substantially underperforming their regional index by -35.8pp compared to -3.4pp in the first three months of 2026. At the same time, Asia Pacific was the only region to record a quarterly rise in deal volume, with 51 deals completed during the second quarter compared to 49 the previous three months. This increase was achieved despite a sharp fall in transactions by Chinese buyers, who recorded just seven completed transactions compared to 21 in the first quarter.
Mercereau said: “Geopolitical uncertainty, valuation concerns and shifting trade policies have yet to significantly temper the pace, depth, and breadth of the global M&A market. As the push for scale and cost efficiency to address increased competition continue to drive deal momentum, a disciplined, strategy-driven focus on sector-specific opportunities will prove essential to execute deals that create long-term value in turbulent conditions.”
WTW QDPM Methodology
- All analysis is conducted from the perspective of the acquirer.
- Share-price performance within the quarterly study is measured as a percentage change in share price from six months prior to the announcement date to the end of the quarter.
- All deals where the acquirer owned less than 50% of the shares of the target after the acquisition were removed, hence no minority purchases have been considered. All deals where the acquirer held more than 50% of target shares prior to the acquisition have been removed, hence no remaining purchases have been considered.
- Only completed M&A deals with a value of at least $100 million which meet the study criteria are included in this research.
- Deal data sourced from LSEG.
About WTW M&A
WTW’s M&A practice combines our expertise in risk and human capital to offer a full range of M&A services and solutions covering all stages of the M&A process. We have particular expertise in the areas of planning, due diligence, risk transfer and post transaction integration, areas that define the success of any transaction.
About WTW
At WTW (NASDAQ: WTW), we provide data-driven, insight-led solutions in the areas of people, risk and capital. Leveraging the global view and local expertise of our colleagues serving 140 countries and markets, we help organisations sharpen their strategy, enhance organisational resilience, motivate their workforce and maximise performance.
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Footnote
- The M&A research tracks the number of completed deals over $100m and the share price performance of the acquiring company against the MSCI World Index, which is used as default, unless stated otherwise. Return to article
