Crisis Management Annual Review 2026

Despite a decline in mass shooting and mass murder statistics, politically motivated violence surged. High‑profile assassinations, targeted attacks on public officials, and mass civil unrest-particularly in response to immigration enforcement and rising polarization – kept organizations on heightened alert.

Kidnapping and extortion risks persisted across the region, with notable increases in Colombia, Peru, and Mexico. The reconfiguration of criminal networks, stagnating peace negotiations and intensifying U.S. military pressure in the Caribbean reshaped threat dynamics. Social unrest remained volatile, particularly in countries facing governance challenges and expanding organized crime.

The war in Ukraine entered a destructive new phase, with dramatic increases in Russian missile and drone volumes. Meanwhile, Russia’s hybrid warfare campaign expanded across Europe, targeting critical infrastructure, aviation, and commercial assets. Crypto‑linked kidnappings rose sharply in France, underscoring a new frontier in financially motivated violence. Although overall protest activity dipped following Europe’s ‘Year of Elections,’ civil unrest remained prominent around issues such as immigration, economic insecurity, and the Gaza conflict.

The region was defined by two major developments: the intense 12‑day Iran–Israel war in June and the subsequent Gaza ceasefire in October. Although the ceasefire held, the pathway toward disarmament, withdrawal, and long‑term governance in Gaza remains fraught. Iran’s regional influence weakened significantly following heavy losses to its military, leadership and proxy networks, though the potential for renewed low‑level hostilities persists.

Gen-Z‑led protest movements emerged as a powerful force in North Africa, most notably in Morocco, where socioeconomic frustrations and governance concerns catalyzed mass demonstrations.

Conflict deepened across Sudan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Mali – each experiencing territorial fragmentation, mass displacement, and a rapidly deteriorating humanitarian situation. Jihadist groups expanded their operational reach, increasing kidnaps for ransom and cross‑border attacks. Political volatility escalated, marked by coups and attempted coups in Guinea‑Bissau, Benin, and Madagascar.

The region saw significant civil unrest driven by economic strain, youth movements, corruption and governance concerns. Interstate conflicts among India–Pakistan, Thailand–Cambodia, and Pakistan–Afghanistan disrupted aviation, trade, and regional security. Internal conflicts persisted in Myanmar, while terrorism surged across Pakistan and Afghanistan.