Due to future power demand for data centers, technology companies are buying up and reserving a large percentage of future high efficiency gas turbine production. Manufacturers are in discussions with companies with AI-intensive operations to collaborate on solutions, including smaller turbines. Smaller scale turbines are able to provide dedicated power on a modular basis with much shorter timescales than the larger OEMs.
For independent power generation, territories such as Qatar and Abu Dhabi are changing their process for tendering for new power projects. Currently, engineering, construction and procurement (EPC) contractors are subject to a request for proposal (RFP) process, meaning they are not guaranteed to win the contract and reserving equipment for the premium of $7 million per month from OEMs doesn’t make business sense. More recently, offtakers are purchasing and reserving turbines and then tendering for the EPC contractors to build with the turbines provided.
The potential of small modular reactors
Small modular reactors (SMRs) are gaining traction, but the plans and projects remain under review and are not due to go live until 2029 at the earliest. Currently no design has been approved in the U.S., even at a federal level, and regulations need to mature before the earliest projects go live in 2029.
The U.K. is also engaging in discussions and planning for SMRs to go live from 2030 . A U.K. government team are carrying out a competition to see which technology will receive their financial backing, but a major player has recently withdrawn, leaving three companies in the running for two investment decisions.
Nuclear projects are bound by tight regulatory standards that create unique challenges compared to other natural resources sectors. Kate Fowler, Global Head of Nuclear, Willis, explains: “SMRs in the early stages of project design will encounter gaps in insurance as projects evolve, with professional liability in design and surety solutions for decommissioning the prime white spaces for insurance market innovation.”
In the construction and operational phases of a project, the amount of cover is mandated by regulators and nuclear project owners will need to purchase this level of insurance cover, irrespective of the scale or value of the project. For smaller players – particularly in the in-demand technology sector – the potential to lean into large and well-capitalized businesses is a core way to open the door to nuclear power.
According to Forbes, “the companies that need this new quantum of power are the world’s largest technology firms, with market capitalization values of $1 trillion or more .” Technology giants that are at the coalface of the demand for data centers are well-capitalized to invest in SMR technologies, but collaboration between regulators, insurers and sector players will be needed to move the dial on nuclear power.
Across different countries, with different regulations and projects being designed with different technologies, the need for standardization is clear. To move the dial on nuclear energy as a commercially viable option to accelerate power generation, policies and conventions need to bring global differences into alignment.
We’re left with a paradigm. According to Forbes, “DeepSeek is the opening act in the final solution, which is delivering the same AI capabilities at a fraction of the cost” but as demand continues to increase, the availability of data centers at a lower cost will continue to drive competition rather than stifle it. And the need for power will continue to grow. The direction of travel will take twists and turns, but one thing is clear, the global grid needs investment to grow in parallel.
Contact us to find out more about the future of data centers and how power companies can prepare for change.